If we lose the SEC championship game, it is going to be particularly painful. No matter what happens Saturday the winner, barring injury, is guaranteed to stomp Choker Lame. After watching the ND-USC game yesterday, I am more than convinced that the Irish are destined to become SEC victim #7. So, losing the SEC championship game is, for all intents and purposes, losing the national championship, not just the chance to play for it.
That said, I estimate Georgia's odds of beating Bama to be about 25%. One in four chance is about what I'd give them. Certainly doable, and well within the realm of probability. A win would not be among the biggest upsets by any stretch of the imagination, but it is a long shot none the less.
I think it will either be A.) a close Georgia win or B.) a Bama blowout. A close game favors Georgia, but if Bama can come out moving the ball early and punch Georgia in the mouth on the opening drive, they may be able to stun the Dawgs and build an insurrmountable lead while they have them dazed. The key for Georgia, in my opinion, is to get a big defensive stop early. This may well be a game where whoever scores first wins. I do not see the momentum shifting back and forth in this one. Whoever gets it first will keep it.