I really appreciate all of the responses.
I can also appreciate how difficult it can be to predict the peformance of your own team, both good and bad as emotion kicks in.
I really did look at all the stats for both teams for the SEC games only. I tossed out UF vs. Kentucky since it was lopsided from the very begining. I also tossed out UGA vs. Ark. since that was a 100 pnt. shootout.
The Vegas odds right now is 16 pnts. which is dead on my prediction of 30-14 but as I stated, I think the bye week for UGA compensates for a lot. Should get things close, a 1 possesion game.
Vs. the SEC, the Gator's D has given up the following:
UT = 13
KY = 7
LSU = 3
Ark = 20
MSU = 6
UGA will be the second best offense that we have faced so I can easily see UGA getting close to the 20 pnt. number. That being said, our sputtering offense has scored the following vs. the SEC:
UT = 23
KY = 41
LSU = 13
Ark = 23
MSU = 22
On paper, UGA's deffense is better than KY and Ark and worse than Tenn and LSU. Probably about par with MSU.