Written by ecdawg | 06 January 2011
Oversigning is part of the program at Alabama. This year the Tide has 8 seniors and, of course will lose a few juniors to the NFL. How many? I have no idea but for the sake of argument let's say 10. By my math that would give them 18 available scholarships to offers. Here we are a month away from signing day and Alabama has 22 commitments.
They had 22 commitments yesterday, got another from Xzavier Dickson last night and still have 22? Yep. Amazingly Shannon Brown was discovered to have academic deficiencies that will require he become an early enrollee (next week) in a junior college. He will finish high school at the juco and prepare to enroll in Alabama in 2012. At that time he will have 4 years to play 3.
Of course, Alabama has not folded their recruiting machinery for 2011. On the contrary, they are scouring the nation for talent. How, you may ask can they continue to recruit when they have already received commitments from more players than they have scholarships to actually admit. It's simple - they will triage the roster and provide assistance to those deemed to have the greatest chance of contributing - discarding the others.
It cannot be stressed enough how much of an advantage it is for Saban to not have to work withing a projected recruiting budget like he would if he were recruiting in the Big 10 conference. With a senior class of roughly 8-10 players and no more than 4 Juniors jumping to the NFL early, the reasonable recruiting budget for Alabama should be somewhere around 14-15 players, which is what you would expect when a school has such a small senior class. If you go back and look at schools such as Ohio State, you will occasionally see a small class of 15 or so recruits. That is the normal cycle of recruiting when you are not allowed to oversign.
Ohio State signed 16 recruits in 2003, 15 in 2007, and 19 in 2010. See the pattern there; every three or four years you have a small class if you are not oversigning every year.
Alabama on the other hand going back to 2005 has had 32, 23, 25, 32, 27, 29, and is at 22 this year.
The new target in the SEC is SUPPOSED to be 28