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Georgia’s 39-34 Sugar Bowl

Georgia’s 39–34 Sugar Bowl loss to Ole Miss is going to sit in the craw for a while because it was the kind of game this program has made a living winning under Kirby Smart. The box score says “quarterfinal,” the setting says “New Orleans,” and the opponent says “SEC,” but the story is simpler than all that: Georgia built a two-score cushion with physical offense and a sudden-change defense, then let Ole Miss turn the second half into a track meet they couldn’t finish first. Ole Miss won it on a 47-yard field goal with six seconds left, and the final snap of chaos—a desperation lateral sequence that ended with the ball out of bounds off the end-zone pylon—tacked on a safety and made the final margin 39–34.

The first quarter felt like one of those games where Georgia was comfortable being patient, even while trailing. Ole Miss didn’t cross the goal line once in the opening period, but Lucas Carneiro flipped the field with his leg anyway, drilling a 55-yarder and then a 56-yarder to put the Rebels up 6–0. That matters, because long field goals aren’t just points; they’re a psychological tax on the other sideline. You defend well, you force a stop outside the red zone, and you still walk to the bench down multiple scores. Georgia’s offense didn’t panic, and by the end of the quarter you could see the plan: lean on the run game, pull Ole Miss’s front forward, and make the quarterback run game part of the math.

Then Georgia’s second quarter was as “Kirby-ball” as it gets when the roster is humming. The comeback started with a ground-heavy drive capped by Gunner Stockton tucking the ball and running 12 yards for a touchdown. Ole Miss answered with a 75-yard march and a 3-yard touchdown pass from Trinidad Chambliss to Luke Hasz, but Georgia’s defense stiffened on the two-point try, and the game pivoted on what came next: Georgia put together a long, efficient drive that converted multiple third downs and finished with Stockton punching it in from the 1. The sequence that put Georgia firmly in control came right after that—Elijah Griffin stripped Kewan Lacy, Daylen Everette scooped it, and Everette took it 47 yards to the house. That’s the blueprint: offense scores, defense creates sudden change, offense (or defense) scores again. At halftime, it was 21–12, and it felt like Georgia had the better answers.

The problem is that the second half turned into a different sport. Georgia opened the third quarter with a three-and-out, then got a gift when the defense stopped Ole Miss on fourth-and-1 near midfield. That’s the kind of moment that lets you step on a throat, but Georgia came away empty when Peyton Woodring’s 55-yard field goal attempt came up short. Ole Miss took that oxygen and started squeezing. They cut the lead to 21–19 on a 7-yard Lacy touchdown run, and while Georgia did respond—most notably with a gorgeous fake punt where Landon Roldan hit Lawson Luckie for 16 yards to keep a drive alive—those “answers” increasingly felt like escapes rather than control. Georgia managed a 37-yard Woodring field goal to make it 24–19 late in the third, but Ole Miss had found the matchup they liked and they weren’t going to stop calling it.

That matchup was Chambliss playing point guard against Georgia’s coverage spacing, and Ole Miss’s wideouts winning in the intermediate and deep windows when the pocket extended. Chambliss finished 30-of-46 for 362 yards with two passing touchdowns and no interceptions, and his top targets did real damage: Harrison Wallace III went for 156 yards, De’Zhaun Stribling for 122. That’s not “got beat on a couple of busted coverages.” That’s Ole Miss living in the part of the field Georgia usually owns—between 12 and 25 yards—while also hitting explosives when Georgia got impatient.

The fourth quarter is where this one will be replayed in staff rooms and message boards for months because there were multiple turning points, and Georgia caught the wrong end of too many of them. Ole Miss opened the quarter with a 75-yard touchdown drive, then converted the two-point try to go up 27–24. The next critical moment was operational rather than schematic: early in the fourth, facing fourth-and-2 near its own 33, Georgia initially had the punt team on, then shifted to an attempt to draw Ole Miss offsides, and the ball got snapped with Stockton unready. The result was a sack and a turnover on downs—Kirby Smart later said the ball wasn’t supposed to be snapped. Ole Miss cashed that short field quickly, scoring a couple plays later to push the margin to 34–24. In a one-possession playoff game, handing away a possession and field position like that is the kind of error that usually ends your night.

To Georgia’s credit, the response was immediate and gutsy. Stockton hit Zachariah Branch for an 18-yard touchdown to cut it to 34–31, the defense forced a three-and-out, and Georgia got the ball back with a real chance to win the thing. A fourth-and-9 conversion where Stockton again found Branch kept the drive alive, and Georgia moved down inside the 10. But the finishing sequence was where the margins flipped the other way. Georgia couldn’t punch it in and settled for a 24-yard field goal to tie at 34 with 55 seconds left. That’s not inherently wrong—points are precious, and in real time coaches will take “tie game” over “empty possession” every day of the week—but it did leave Ole Miss enough clock to operate. Dawg Sports’ postgame reaction made the same painful point a lot of long-time fans were already muttering: with first-and-goal and the ability to manage the clock, Georgia needed to be thinking not just “score,” but “score last,” and that final minute became the difference between overtime and heartbreak.

Ole Miss did exactly what playoff teams do when you give them time: they hit the chunk play that matters. With 26 seconds left, Chambliss found Stribling for 40 yards to the Georgia 30, and suddenly the whole stadium knew the ending. Carneiro nailed the 47-yarder with six seconds left. Georgia’s last gasp produced its own kind of mayhem—an onside kick recovery with one second left, a backward-pass sequence, and the ball ultimately out of bounds off the end-zone pylon for a safety—so the final reads 39–34, but the truth is it was decided by Ole Miss executing one high-leverage drive when Georgia couldn’t.

If you want the cleanest statistical snapshot of why Georgia lost, it’s this: Ole Miss outgained Georgia 473–343, with 362 of those coming through the air. Georgia ran the ball 37 times for 124 yards (a modest 3.4 per carry once you account for Stockton’s carries), and Stockton’s passing line—18-of-31 for about 200 yards, one touchdown, no picks—wasn’t disastrous, but it wasn’t enough to match a quarterback playing at that level on the other side. Georgia also left points and leverage on the field: the short field-goal miss from 55 that came up short, the fourth-down operational misfire, and the inability to finish the late red-zone possession with a touchdown. You can survive one of those against an elite team. Surviving all of them usually requires the opponent to cooperate, and Ole Miss didn’t.

Now for the “solutions” piece, because there’s no value in gnashing teeth unless you’re willing to talk about what changes the outcome next time. The first and most obvious adjustment is defensive: Georgia has to be able to defend a quarterback who extends plays without turning the back end into a scramble drill lottery. Chambliss didn’t just win on called shot plays; he won by buying an extra beat and forcing coverages to declare late. That points to two coaching imperatives going forward. One is rush integrity—less “fly past the pocket,” more “cage the launch point,” especially on passing downs where the opponent wants you to get wide-eyed and chase sacks. The other is coverage rules that anticipate extension: plaster principles, leverage awareness, and a safety rotation plan that doesn’t leave the same intermediate windows exposed repeatedly. When a receiver duo is stacking 278 yards between them, that’s a sign the answers were either too slow or too predictable.

The second solution is offensive, and it’s about expanding the ways Georgia can play from ahead. The first half showed a path: a real run game, quarterback run as a constraint, and efficient third-down answers. But when the game tightened, Georgia didn’t consistently create explosives of its own, and it didn’t finish the late drive with a touchdown. That doesn’t mean you throw the playbook in the river; it means you invest in two things that travel in playoff football. One is pass protection that holds up when the opponent knows you need to throw, because the fourth quarter is where “solid” protection becomes “championship” protection. The other is a passing-game menu that can manufacture easy yards without requiring perfect blocks—quick-game spacing, route combinations that stress linebackers horizontally, and answers to pressure looks that don’t all rely on the quarterback turning into Houdini. Georgia did hit a couple of big ones, but the game flow suggests Ole Miss was more comfortable living in dropback situations than Georgia was.

The third solution is situational football, and that’s the one that will bother Kirby the most because it’s usually Georgia’s calling card. The fourth-down snap miscommunication is a hard “never again,” because it’s not about talent; it’s about sideline process, substitution, and communication of intent. The red-zone-and-clock sequence at the end is the other one, because in a one-score postseason game you have to think like a closer. Georgia’s program has won titles by being the team that manages the last four minutes better than anyone—by understanding when to be aggressive, when to bleed clock, when to force the opponent to use timeouts, and when to leave them none. This game flipped that identity for one night, and you could feel it because Georgia has been so consistent in those moments for so long.

Finally, and this is where the history of Georgia football provides some comfort, games like this usually become accelerants rather than anchors if the staff treats them honestly. Mark Richt’s best teams learned painful postseason lessons about finishing drives and finishing games. Kirby’s early teams learned hard lessons too—2017 in Indianapolis, 2018 in Baton Rouge, even 2020 in Tuscaloosa—before turning those scars into a machine that routinely wins the high-leverage snaps. The difference now is that the 12-team playoff era asks you to win more of these tight, high-quality games in a row, and there’s less margin for a single operational breakdown or a single coverage problem that persists too long. That’s not an excuse; it’s the new standard. Ole Miss met it on Thursday night. Georgia, for a handful of crucial snaps, didn’t.

By Gregory
Gregory

2025 Georgia Bulldogs Football Schedule

Marshall 3:30 PM Aug 30 Sanford Stadium ESPN W 45-7
Austin Peay 3:30 PM Sep. 6 Sanford Stadium ESPN+ W 28-6
Tennesse 3:30 PM Sep. 13 Away ABC W 44-41
OFF   Sep. 21      
Alabama 7:30 PM Sep. 27 Sanford Stadium ABC L 21-24
Kentucky 12:00 PM Oct. 4 Sanford Stadium ABC W 35-14;
Auburn TBD Oct. 11 Away TBD W 20-10
Old Miss TBD Oct. 18 Sanford Stadium TBD W 43-35
OFF   Oct. 26      
Florida 3:30 PM Nov. 1 Away ABC W 24-20
Miss St 12:00 PM Nov. 8 Away ABC W 41-21
Texas TBD Nov. 15 Sanford Stadium ABC W 35-10
Charlotte 12:45 PM Nov. 22 Sanford Stadium SECN W 35-3
Georgia Tech 3:30 PM Nov. 28 Mercedes-Benz SECN W 16-9
Alabama 4:00 PM Dec. 6 Mercedes-Benz ABC W 28-7
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