As promised, my SEC predictions and BCS Bowl predictions:
Southeastern Conference
Tough to call, as it is every year. The East has gotten a little easier to call, though, as Erik Ainge tore his meniscus in spring practice and may miss up to the first four weeks of the regular season. Talented as Jonathan Crompton is, I don’t think he’s got the grapes to take Florida or Georgia in that period of time, and those two losses will take Tennessee out of the divisional race. Which brings it down to Florida and Georgia. Oh yeah, and South Carolina. And if the Big Four in the East beat each other up too much (you must consider SCarolina a big player now, you simply must), Kentucky is waiting in the wings. Think I’m joking? Take a look at the final score of the Music City Bowl last year. Ask Tommy Bowden if Kentucky rolls over and plays dead. For that matter, ask Mark Richt.
The West is kind of a mess this year. LSU won every game they were supposed to win – except the two they had to win. Auburn was a powerhouse, but got exposed as beatable by Georgia and Arkansas. Alabama is always a dark horse, but I don’t think even the Evil Genius is going to be able to do much with the Tide this year. And what in the hell is going on in Fayetteville? I wouldn’t be surprised if Arkansas loses ten games this year after winning ten last year. I also wouldn’t be surprised if LSU goes 11-1, losing only to Florida in Baton Rouge. So I’m picking LSU to win the Western Division and make the trip back to Atlanta for the fourth time in six years.
The East? It’s good. Tennessee, as I see it, is out of the picture. They’ll have to sweep their major opponents – Georgia, Florida, South Carolina and Alabama – in order to even have a shot. Then they have Arkansas to worry about. Not to mention Kentucky, who nearly took them out last year. SCarolina is going to have some high moments. Spurrier’s going to come into Athens wanting blood, and he gets the Gators in Columbia again, and Auburn’s off the schedule this year. So here’s the thing: I don’t see Tim Tebow or Matthew Stafford losing one game going into the Cocktail Party. I think the East – and the SEC – is going to come down to that game in Jacksonville. No joke, I think the team that wins that game has an undefeated season and plays for the National Championship.
So here’s the exciting scenario I see, and which I will posit to you as my prediction: The SEC Championship will feature two undefeated teams and be the most important conference championship game ever played. LSU will best Florida in Death Valley, taking a 12-0 record into Atlanta. Georgia will have a brilliant season, make Tebow pancakes and avenge every loss they suffered last season, also going to the Dome 12-0. The game will go down to its last ticks tied 7-7, and Brandon Coutu will boot a 55-yard field goal as time expires to seal the victory for the Bulldogs.
Okay, so maybe that last sentence is a bit dramatic, but I do think that both LSU and Georgia will be looking at Florida tape all year long. I think that by the time each game is played, Les Miles and Mark Richt will have Tebow and Urban Meyer figured out. Two losses will put Florida in the Cotton Bowl against Oklahoma. The Gamecocks will have a breakout season and play in a New Year’s Day bowl. Kentucky should win eight or nine games. Alabama will go 5-7 and Nick Saban will leave to coach the Las Vegas Gladiators after the Tide drops two in a row to Sly Croom.
BCS Bowl Matchups
Orange Bowl: West Virginia vs. Virginia Tech
Sugar Bowl: LSU vs. Texas A&M
Rose Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Rutgers
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Texas Christian
National Championship Game: Georgia vs. USC
Red and Black, Win or Lose