Well, the Dawgs are back in the top 10 at #10 in both polls today.
Of the teams ahead of us, 2 are SEC and a bunch are Big 12 teams (Mizzou, Texas, Oklahoma, Texas Tech) that will sustain losses at the hands of each other and get knocked off.
BYU is irrelevant because even if they finish undefeated their strength of schedule will keep them out of the title game. They are this year's Hawaii.
That leaves Penn State and USC as the only potential problems that we can't do anything about if we win out and so do they.
So, I'd say we can get into the title game with 1 loss. However, a 2 loss team won't play for the title again this year, so everything has to be perfect from here on out.